According to “China · yiwu commodity index” (hereinafter referred to as “yiwu index”) information system monitoring, hang by the end of the factors, December confidence to continue down, for 1020.34 points, annulus comparing down 27.23 points, up down 23.51 points, from the chemical index to see, a rose and fell last month 2, appear many industry reverting to reason situation; Month price index 104.3 points, annulus comparing slightly, up 0.36, up slightly up 2.68, continue rising momentum, and years high. By Christmas wholesale effect this month, returned home to more foreign feast, thrilling foreign reduce, turnover index, volume index and efficiency index in different degree fall.
Boom index structure and go up drop
(a) confidence form analysis
This month confidence 1020.34 points, annulus comparing down 27.23 points, down 2.6%. Confidence form analysis are as follows:
1. Scale index: 806.48 points, annulus comparing down 8.08 points, up up 17.48 points. Near the end of the product structure is more stable, product appear rate is low, variety expansion index annulus comparing down 24.6 points, to 987.8; Christmas comes this month, foreign reduce field, a small popularity index drops 0.52 points, annulus comparing rose 0.63 points; Turnover index dropped 5.49 points, to 808.69, trading index annulus comparing down 8.13 points, to 770.91 points.
2. Efficiency index: 1307.22 points, annulus comparing down 77.63 points, up down 13.88 points. Among them, the goods turnover ratio index annulus comparing up 8.15, capital turnover ratio index fell 66.52 points; Worth Maori forehead index annulus comparing down 170.91 points.
3. Confidence index: 1018.63 points, annulus comparing down 2.35 points, up down 87.77 points. By the end of account receivable collection defaults on pressure, reduce trade orders and other factors, expected to slide.
this month 15confidence up 9 and 6 industry fell, among them, toys, nursing and beauty products class, the bags of list at the top front row, respectively up 123.17 points, November 72.48 points, 30.97; In fall before a list of three is auxiliary materials and packaging kind, jewelry kind, electronic electric appliance class, annulus comparing respectively, down 111.62 points to 67.53 points, 63.68 points. This month of clocks glasses confidence continue rising trend last month; Commodity kind, footwear, nursing and beauty products, toys, of bags, and five major industry boom index rebounded reason; Cultural office supplies kind of confidence back up after; Handicraft class, needle · textile category, sports entertainment supplies class, clothing accessories class, electronic electric appliance kind, jewelry kind, auxiliary materials and packaging class, hardware and 8 kinds of materials’ index continue alpha last month.
(2) a price index analysis
The price index of 104.3 points this month, annulus comparing up 0.36, to rise compared to the 2.68 points. Among them, the export market price index, the transaction price index, the order directly market price index rose 0.45 points, respectively annulus 0.38 points, 0.29, online trading price index flat.
15 industry price index rose on November 4 falls, among them, the daily necessities, auxiliary materials and packaging of class, and hardware and dianliao class list at the top front row, respectively up 1.74 points, November 1.6 points, 0.91; Handicraft class, bags, needle · textile category in fall before a list of three, annulus comparing respectively, down 2.04 points to 0.38 points, 0.33 points. Materials and packaging class, sports entertainment supplies class, electronic electric appliance class, jewelry kind, cultural office supplies class 5 types this month price index for uplink; Commodity class, hardware and dianliao class, watches and clocks, glasses kind, nursing and beauty products, toys, clothing of 6 types of dress on price index rebounded reason; Footwear, needle · textile category, bags, handicraft class 4 categories up on price index dropped after.
Boom index analysis of influence factors
(1) festival frequently, and domestic market is active
New Year’s day coming near the Spring Festival, domestic market market overall uplink, toys, nursing and beauty products kind, bags of industries in domestic market periodic busy season, confidence all appear strong rebound. Among them, the wool cloth with soft nap (cloth) toys, outdoor toys, hair care category, bag class December confidence rising 223.72 points respectively annulus comparing, 204.04, 99, 58.9 points. Spring Festival, commodity demand is strong, a variety of commodity prices to warm up, and hygiene of daily necessities, household life commodity kind of December confidence rising 87.42 points, 17.31 month-on-month point.
(2) the coming Christmas, market export affected
Christmas comes this month, part of a foreign holiday home, a decrease in the number of foreign field, handicraft class, jewelry kind, needle textile category and higher · extroverted degree of foreign trade industry order quantity declined slightly, this month boom index fell 43.59 points, respectively, and 67.53 points, 22.58 points. Among them, the clothing category, special crafts class, bedding class, neck ornaments class, art crafts class, hand jewelry kind of December boom index fell 224.35 points, 88.82 annulus comparing points, 80.96, 75.27, 65.52, 51.29.
(3) domestic trade new single decrease
In the end of the year, some industry domestic trade purchasing close to an end, the end of field inventory treatment increased, the decrease in the number of new orders. According to “yiwu index” system monitoring shows, auxiliary materials and packaging class, jewelry kind, electronic electric appliance kind of December turnover index, index and fall trading volume annulus, turnover indexes were down 10.15 points, 10.94, 17.28, trading indexes were down 14.19 points, 14.96, 28.77.
Market trend analysis
(1) toys, nursing and beauty products class, watches and clocks, glasses, daily necessities of classes, cultural office supplies class, the bags of industry operation is steady
Christmas time is here, toys, nursing and beauty products, daily necessities kind of sustained strong demand, confidence, month price index rose in both before the market is expected to continue the good.
To meet the February the busy season, buyers of cultural office supplies class, bags, watches and clocks, glasses products purchasing is about to begin, expected to rush.
(2) footwear, needle · textile and apparel products category at the change garments according to the
Footwear, needle · textile and apparel categories of products in the past winter season, the recent field processing sales increased inventory form, become an important complement to retail industry, with climate change, spring, summer, product will be on the market in succession, customers both at home and abroad to look at a sample the inquiry will be significantly increased.
(3) crafts class, electronic electric appliance class, jewelry kind, auxiliary materials and packaging kind of industry will continue to adjust
Handicraft class, electronic electric appliance class, jewelry kind, auxiliary materials and packaging kind of confidence in continued downside, industry adjustment pressure is bigger, is with the New Year, new product on the market in succession, industry operation will be entering into a new round adjustment stage.
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